Doug Fischer

Dougie’s Friday mailbag

WHO WINS KHAN-JUDAH?

Who are you picking in the Amir Khan-Zab Judah fight?

I'm leaning towards Khan, but I feel that Judah has the tools to get the job done.

Still, history has shown that Judah tends to come up short in his biggest fights. Why won't that happen again on Saturday night? — Gopal

Good question. I’ll answer it with a few questions. Does Khan have the iron chin and pin-point accuracy of the 2001 version of Kostya Tszyu? Is he as slick as Cory Spinks was in 2004? Is he as patient and technically sound as Floyd Mayweather was in 2006? Is he as strong and ruthlessly relentless as Miguel Cotto was in 2007. Is he as durable as Joshua Clottey?

Those are the fights Judah came up short in. There are no Breidis Prescott-level fighters in that group.

I’m picking Judah to win. I think he’s more mature than he was when he lost to those aforementioned fighters, and like you, I believe he has the tools and style to trouble the 4-to-1 betting favorite.

Khan is one of the most talented boxers I've ever seen and he's absolutely awesome against right-handed boxers who can’t dent his chin (Kotelnik, Malignaggi). However, he looked all too human in spot against a fighter who could take his heat and put right back on him (Maidana). and he looked hurried and sloppy against Paul McCloskey, a southpaw, in his last fight.

McCloskey really wasn’t trying to do much more than occasionally pot shot the British star but I was surprised at how often the Irishman made Khan lunge and miss with simple upper body movement.

If McCloskey had Judah’s power it would have been interesting to see what he could have done with some of those counter punches he landed when Khan lunged in.

Anyway, I realize that Judah is a big underdog, and maybe he should be, but I think his style, athleticism, and experience (not to mention Pernell Whitaker’s guidance and Victor Conte’s conditioning expertise) adds up to an upset tomorrow night.

PACQUIAO-MARQUEZ III WORTH THE TRIP?

Hi Doug,

Can you please tell me why traveling 5,000 miles to see Pacquiao vs. Marquez 3 is a bad idea? I'm a JMM fan and need a dose of reality before buying a ticket tomorrow. Cheers. — Chris

Here’s a dose of reality: Marquez has no chance.

Michael Katsidis didn’t just knock him down last November, the rugged-but-crude Aussie hurt the future hall of famer. Marquez is clearly pushing it at 135 pounds and he’s doing so against fighters with a fraction of the talent and technique of the Pac-monster. What’s going to happen when Pacquiao, who has dropped and/or hurt solid world-class welterweights, puts fierce hands on JMM?

As much as I respect and admire JMM, I'm fine with skipped this fight as was with Pac’s bouts against Antonio Margarito and Shane Mosley.

Having said that, if there’s one fighter who deserves to be supported by his fans regardless of his chances in a big fight, it’s Marquez.

It’s been an honor covering his career (and I’ve done so going back to his Forum Boxing days in the 1990s.)

I don’t know how long Marquez will last against Pacquiao in this third fight but you and I both know he won’t pull a “Mosley.” He’s proved to have all-time great mettle over the years in my not-so-humble opinion. Marquez will never quit and if he’s going down against the Filipino super hero he’s gonna go down swinging.

POVETKIN-CHAGAEV CARD

Hey Dougie,
Is it weird that I'm more excited about the Povetkin-Chagaev, Helenius-Liakhovich card than I have been about any heavyweight card since V. Klitschko v. Sanders? It includes three of arguably the top five non-Klitschko heavyweights on the planet, and a fourth who's somewhere near the fringe of the top 10 or 15. I support the Klitschkos, and don't think they're boring, but I'm pretty excited to finally see a heavyweight "title" fight where I don't know the outcome at the time it's signed. Btw, I'm picking Povetkin by decision and Helenius by KO. — Todd

I don’t think it’s weird at all to be excited about that Aug. 27 card in Germany. I’m definitely going to be more focused on the Robert Guerrero-Marcos Maidana showdown (also on Aug. 27 in San Jose, Calif.) the week and weekend of the Povetkin-Chagaev fight, but that’s not an American bias, I’m just not that into the heavyweight division.

However, if you’re into the heavyweights at all, you gotta at least be intrigued by Povetkin. The undefeated Russian has everything (stellar amateur credentials, good skill and technique, quick and accurate punches, an aggressive style, solid chin) except for the size of a modern heavyweight. He’s 21-0, he’s 31 and in his prime, hell, I’m ready to see what this bad boy can do. Chagaev is a good test for him. If Povetkin beats the former WBA belt holder (and wins that organization’s vacant belt), I think he becomes a prime target for Chris Arreola, David Haye, the winner of Helenius-Liakhovich, the winner of tomorrow’s Tyson Fury-Dereck Chisora bout, Denis Boytsov, UK prospect David Price, American hopeful Seth Mtichell, and whoever else is out there big-man land who wants a decent payday without feeling the wrath of the K-brothers.

And, hey, those are all fun matchups because even though Teddy Atlas has slowed Povetkin down and made him think a little bit more than he used to, the former amateur star is still a beast and the American trainer/commentator has helped him shorten up his offense. I love Povetkin’s body shots and counter punches.

Wow. I just sold myself on the Povetkin-Chagaev fight while talking up the undefeated 2004 Olympic gold medalist. Now I am interested in watching it. I wonder if it will be available online anywhere?

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