Doug Fischer

Dougie’s Friday mailbag

PACQUIAO’S GOT THIS

Hi Doug,
Lots of people are calling for a tough fight for Pac. I hope that turns out to be true, but here is something that might prevent that from happening. Despite his impressive physique, Bradley does not punch with authority. Rather than putting his body into each punch, he throws arm punches. And when he perceives his opponent to be hurt, he throws wild arm punches. I think he will be able to push Manny around a bit in the ring, but I don’t think he can hurt Manny or even accumulate points with impressive punches.

Speaking of punching power, I saw a clip of Marcos Maidana hitting the mitts. He was punching with authority. – John, Great White North

I’m looking forward to Maidana’s first fight with Robert Garcia in his corner.

I agree that Bradley tends to gets a little wild when he thinks he’s hurt his opponent, and I agree that he’s vulnerable when he swarms, but I don’t agree that all of his shots are “arm punches.” Some of them are, but he delivers some with proper leverage, such as his overhand right and his body shots. (These are punches that can be effective against Pacquiao.)

I think he might be able to hurt Pacquiao and pile up points if Manny isn’t 100-percent tomorrow night. Of course, on the flip side, I’m pretty darn sure that Pacquiao can hurt Bradley.

I’m also pretty sure that Bradley is there for Manny’s straight left. Joel Casamayor was able to time Bradley with clean one-twos in each of the first four or five rounds of their fight last November. Timmy was fortunate the faded Cuban vet had no legs and absolutely zero on his punches.

Despite his lack of KO power and occasional defensive holes, Bradley’s speed, physical strength and quirky style should give Pacquiao problems.

I think he’s going to make Pacquiao look bad for a few rounds and then make the Filipino veteran look great.

END OF THE PACQUIAO ERA

Greetings Mr. Fischer,

Been a while since the days when I would email you regularly back in the Maxboxing days. Got married, have a kid on the way, retired from my 3-fight amateur career. Life gets in the way of boxing.

I’m chiming in as a Pacquiao fan (or maybe a former Pacquiao fan because of this pick) – I’m going with Bradley by SD this Saturday. This is the first time I picked against the Pacman since the De La Hoya fight (and even that fight I thought Pac was a very live dog). Before that, it was the first Morales fight. So in all this upset pick will only be the third time since 2005 that I have picked against the Pacman. I have made good money betting on Pacquiao all these years.

The reasons for the upset are the ones that all boxing fans know, but choose to downplay. Bradley’s youth, strength, ability to take a punch, hard noggin and Pacquiao’s focus now on religion and politics, his poor performance in the last fight, his age and on and on.

It’s the end of an era on Saturday. I, like many boxing fans, was caught up in Pacman fever particularly from 2008 through 2011. I wish I could say it started for me back in 2001 against Lehlo Ledwaba or even 2003 against Marco Antonio Barrera, but it was 2004 when I joined the Pacman bandwagon with that sensational first round performance against Juan Manuel Marquez.

I think only 10% of the “experts” are picking Bradley. Am I missing something here? – JL, San Diego

The “experts” aren’t really experts (and that includes me). The more we think we know about boxing, the more it confounds us, so most of us go with the chalk. Pacquiao is a 4-to-1 favorite. (We figure the odds makers are usually correct. Vegas wouldn’t exist if they weren’t.)

Having said that, I agree that all of Bradley’s attributes you mentioned (“youth, strength, ability to take a punch, hard noggin”) will serve him well. If Pacquiao is indeed beginning to fade due to age (and burning the candle at both ends), and if he’s unfocused, Bradley is just the guy to take advantage of it.

I don’t know if Bradley can win a decision in Vegas (honestly, he’ll need to win nine CLEAR rounds just to get that split decision you predict), but if he does, it’s been one hell of a ride on the Pac-train.

GOLOVKIN-PIROG CONFUSION

Hi Doug,

Just heard the Gennady Golovkin vs. Dmitry Pirog fight has been made –great news I think, any fight that likely establishes a credible name in the middleweight division is cool with me. This fight should do that. What do you reckon?

However, I’m a little confused about a couple things. Firstly, on BoxRec is says the fight is for the Super WBA title – hasn’t Sturm already got that? Also, it doesn’t list Pirog’s WBO title as being at stake. He is still the WBO strap holder isn’t he? Why isn’t it featuring in the bout?

Am I missing something? Please bring clarity to my life Doug!!!

(p.s. Rather excited about a couple fights in a fortnights time: Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. vs. Andy Lee and Thomas Adamek vs. Eddie Chambers. How do you see those going?) Warm regards. – Callum, England

I’m also looking forward to June 16. That’s going to be a fun night of boxing. I like both Junior and Adamek by close, perhaps controversial, decisions. The judges are going to give the benefit of the doubt to the more aggressive fighters who happen to have the crowd on their side.

There’s no need to be confused about the Golovkin-Pirog fight. Here’s all you need to know: both middleweights are undefeated and in their prime. Both can box, fight and punch. The fight will be shown in the U.S. (on HBO on August 25) and it should be a good one.

Don’t worry about the belts. WBA “super” middleweight beltholder is still The Sturminator (good for him). Golovkin’s “regular” WBA strap will be on the line. Pirog’s WBO title will not be. Why? Who cares!?

What matters is that the winner will gain recognition as a worthy challenger to RING champ Sergio Martinez. And if Martinez is busy with the Chavez-Lee winner later this year, the Golovkin-Pirog winner could/should go for the winner of the interesting Sturm-Daniel Geale partial unification bout (Sept. 1) or an unbeaten up-and-comer such as Martin Murray or Peter Quillin.

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