Austin Trout SD 12 Saul Alvarez: This is the biggest step-up for both fighters — Miguel Cotto is past his prime — and should be a fun fight that pushes each man to the limit.
Canelo Alvarez is underrated in my opinion, and will pose a formidable test for Austin Trout. He’s effective at cutting off the ring, is a great combination puncher and is strong-willed.
Trout has the advantages in speed, boxing IQ and footwork. I expect the rounds to be close, but I see Trout edging Canelo, as he’s the superior boxer and counter-puncher.
Record: 4-3 [Last week's pick: Rigondeaux UD 12 Donaire]
Saul Alvarez UD 12 Austin Trout: I think this will be a tit-for-tat battle of strength, heart and wits from start to finish.
The hunch here is that Canelo Alvarez will land the harder, more telling blows throughout the fight — mainly his jab and left hooks over and under Austin Trout’s southpaw jab.
It will be close, but I think a knockdown scored by Alvarez — or a few wobbly moments suffered by Trout — will seal the deal for the crowd favorite.
Record: 3-4 [Last week: Donaire mid-to-late KO Rigondeaux]
Saul Alvarez TKO 9 Austin Trout: Canelo Alvarez has been forewarned. Favorites have been falling in a surprising spring that is beginning to look like a season of upsets. Alvarez can reverse the trend, but he’ll have to do so against emerging Austin Trout, who will test him with speed believed to be a Canelo liability.
Like Nonito Donaire in last Saturday’s loss by decision to Guillermo Rigondeaux, Canelo is in danger if the fight goes to the cards. Canelo’s advantage is in an inherent toughness, an ability to cut off the ring and power in effective combinations.
But he’ll have to put all three together if he hopes to wear down Trout after opening rounds that could leave him frustrated, if not confused. The guess here is that he will in gaining a victory he needs in his quest for a showdown with Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Record: 4-3 [Last week: Donaire KO 11 Rigondeaux]
Saul Alvarez SD 12 Austin Trout: Remember the Alamodome? If you do, you’ll remember that whipping a WBC affiliated Mexican opponent in San Antonio, Texas doesn’t always guarantee a win on the score cards. Just ask Pernell Whitaker.
Also, crazy things can happen, and that’s what I expect here, but maybe something even more outrageous than the Whitaker-Chavez draw back in 1993.
Between the first and final bell, Austin “No Doubt” Trout will again the show the world just how good he really is by out-boxing the dangerous but over-matched Saul “Canelo” Alvarez.
After winning at least eight of 12 rounds, there should be no doubt about who won the fight. When split-decision scores in favor of Alvarez are read, boxing fans will again have another Texas scoring controversy. The pick is Canelo by split decision. At least Whitaker got a draw.
Record: 2-5 [Last week: Donaire KO 7 Rigondeaux]
Saul Alvarez W 12 Austin Trout: When it comes to picking fights, there’s no rest for the weary — and that speaks very well for the state of boxing in 2013. This is an exceedingly tough pick because both fighters are in their best fomr and each has assets that could stymie the other.
For Saul Alvarez, those traits are his enviable blend of youth and experience, his dynamic and unpredictable combinations and his superior one-punch power.
For Austin Trout, they are the possibility of a high-volume attack, his southpaw style, his excellent defense that stacks up well with Floyd Mayweather and Guillermo Rigondeaux, and his ability to thrive in hostile environments.
My head tells me that Trout should come out on top, but boxing and logic seldom work hand-in-hand. Look at how many picks most of us “experts” have missed of late.
I think intangibles may determine the winner here, and the intangible I’m speaking of is vengeance. That, I believe, will give Alvarez the extra boost he needs to come out with a hard-fought decision win.
Record: 3-4 [Last week: Donaire W 12 Rigondeaux]
Saul Alvarez SD 12 over Austin Trout: Saul Alvarez’s strength advantage will help him when the tricky Austin Trout stops to trade with him, which Trout will do at times, despite the potential danger in exchanging with a more powerful puncher.
Trout’s movement will trouble the slower Alvarez in spots, too. But Alvarez will manage to make this enough of a rough, physical battle for him to win what should be a highly competitive, 12-round fight.
Record: 0-2 [Last week: Donaire late-round TKO Rigondeaux]
Saul Alvarez UD Austin Trout: I got Saul “Canelo” Alvarez. Austin Trout is good, and the fight will be close throughout.
I expect both guys to have their moments and take rounds from each other. It will be close, but Canelo gets a close unanimous decision.
Record: 1-2 [Last week: Donaire TKO 10 Rigondeaux]
Austin Trout W12 Canelo Alvarez: You have to applaud Canelo Alvarez for taking on the best junior middleweight available in Austin Trout. However, I think Canelo’s going to have issues finding his elusive foe.
And if this turns into a boxing match, the counter-punching Trout will have the advantage. But if Canelo can find his way inside and force Trout to trade flat-footed, he’ll make me a believer.
Record: 4-3 [Last week: Donaire W 12 Rigondeaux]
Saul Alvarez SD 12 Austin Trout: I am looking for a very competitive, pretty much tactical, and long fight. It is a very interesting contrast in styles. Saul “Canelo” Alvarez usually starts quite slowly and builds up the heat.
He may want to step on the gas a little earlier in this one, because Austin Trout will attempt to set the style of the fight, and a measured pace in this one. If Trout is able to do that, he will steal early rounds.
Avaraez can’t get lulled to sleep by that style and pace. Body attack and some roughhouse tactics may be required to take away Trout’s legs and throw him off balance. I see Alvarez coming on in the later rounds to get a close decision.
Record: 4-3 [Last week: Donaire KO 5 Rigondeaux]